Market Overview

Gold & DXY macro state · Monday 13 Jul 2026 · all times GST

● PIPELINE LIVE

MARKET STATE

NEUTRAL

bias cautious / two-way
conviction medium · GVZ 21.8

◆ SENTINEL BRAIN · SYNTHESISupdated 13:42:07 · event #4519

ST Sentiment · hours–weeks

click for attribution

−0.8

tactically neutral / heavy

24h +1.4 · 7d −2.1

LT Sentiment · months–years

click for attribution

+6.4

structurally bullish

30d +0.3 · 90d +0.9

Regime & Divergence

ST − LT spread · 60d

REGIME: structural bull under tactical rate pressure — official-sector bid firm at ~$4,000 floor; ST hostage to CPI (Jul 14) and FOMC (Jul 29) hike repricing.

XAUUSD · 8 months · scored events overlay

● 60s

Key Drivers

1y percentile · click → overlay

Scored News Feed

● SSE

COMEX Options · Aug OpEx

top open interest

14d 02hTO EXPIRY · GC AUG26 · 28 JUL

P/C 1.18 · put skew · OI wall 4000P below spot — magnet risk into OpEx

Official Sector Pulse

CB net 12m 942 t ▲ pace +8%
PBoC Jun +14.9 t · 20th straight mo · 2,346 t
WGC survey: 45% of CBs plan to add (record)

Influencer Pulse

credibility-weighted

62% bull

Alden LT BULL · Nieuwenhuijs BULL · Hansen NEUT

News Intelligence

deduplicated · taxonomy-scored · decay-aware ranking

Feed · last 48h

● LIVE

Deep Dossier

tier-2 analysis

Select a news item with a DOSSIER badge to view its structured analysis.

Category heat · 48h net score

Drivers Studio

any driver vs XAU · percentile context

Series

10Y Real Yield (inverted) vs XAUUSD · 8m

Options & Flows

COMEX GC · CFTC positioning · ETF flows

Open Interest by Strike · GC AUG26

source: CME daily bulletin (sim)

Managed Money Net Position · COT

weekly · 2y

GLD Holdings · daily Δ tonnes · 90d

COMEX Registered Stocks · Moz · 12m

⚠ 1 stale day

Official Sector

central-bank gold demand · reserves · de-dollarization

CB net purchases · 12m

942 t

▲ pace +8% q/q

PBoC streak

20 months

+14.9t Jun · biggest since '23

PBoC holdings

2,346 t

<10% of reserves

WGC survey: CBs planning to add

45%

record high · 89% see global ↑

Monthly CB Net Purchases · 24m · tonnes

Notable buyers · latest prints

Bank	Latest	12m	Signal
🇨🇳 PBoC	+14.9t	+119t	ACCUMULATE
🇵🇱 NBP	+8.2t	+61t	ACCUMULATE
🇹🇷 CBRT	+5.1t	+48t	STEADY
🇮🇳 RBI	+3.4t	+37t	STEADY
🇰🇿 NBK	−2.1t	+9t	MIXED
🇸🇬 MAS	0.0t	+22t	PAUSED

Influencer Intelligence

directional calls logged · scored vs realized price · credibility-weighted

Tracked voices · by credibility

Weighted stance · 90d

Recent calls

Voice	Call	Horizon	Status
L. Alden	BULL @4,088	6m	OPEN
J. Nieuwenhuijs	BULL @3,995	12m	OPEN
O. Hansen	BEAR @4,310	1m	✓ HIT +4.4%
P. Schiff	BULL @5,380	3m	✗ MISS −25%
T. Costa	BULL @4,050	6m	OPEN

Economic Calendar

consensus captured · surprise drives scoring · GST times

Admin & Health

ingestion · data quality · LLM cost accounting · audit

LLM spend today

$3.84 / $12 cap

32% · on pace

Cache hit · tier 1

76%

▲ target ≥70%

Items today

412

T0 61% · T1 34% · T2 11 items

Data quality flags

1 open

COMEX stocks · stale 1d

LLM cost · 14d · by tier

Ingestion jobs

last run status

fred_series13:40 · 12 series · ok

treasury_fiscal13:35 · ok

rss_fed_treasury13:42 · 3 new · ok

rss_market_set13:42 · 11 new · 7 deduped

gdelt_geo13:30 · 4 events · ok

gld_holdings07:05 · +2.1t · ok

cme_warehousestale 26h · quarantined · alert sent

cot_weeklyFri 23:30 · ok

econ_calendar13:15 · consensus ok

influencer_poll12:00 · 2 new calls